Jordan Enclave in West Bank could be Trump’s “Two-State” Solution.

Don’t underestimate Trump’s deal-making ability to end what he himself has called “the war that never ends”

Creating another Palestinian Arab state – in addition to Jordan – has been seemingly consigned to the garbage bin of history following Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s CNN interview on 28 September.

President Trump had just told Netanyahu on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly:

“I like two-state solution. I like two-state solution. That’s what I think works best. I don’t even have to speak to anybody, that’s my feeling.”

When asked if he was prepared to commit to a two-state solution – Netanyahu told his CNN interviewer:

“I’ve discovered that if you use labels you are not going to get very far because different people mean different things when they say “states”. So rather than talk about labels, I like to talk about substance”

Questioned on what he would like to see – Netanyahu replied:

 “What I would like to see is that the Palestinians will have all the powers to govern themselves and not all the powers that will threaten us. What that means is that in the tiny area between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea – it’s all about 50 kilometres wide – that’s where the Palestinians live and the Israelis live – in that area under any peace agreement or without a peace agreement – Israel has to have the dominant power, the military power, overriding security power …”

Netanyahu then stressed:

“Israel has to have the overriding security, not the UN, not Canadian Mounties, not — I don’t know  –  Austrian or Australian forces – Israeli forces have to have the security control, otherwise, that place will be taken over by Islamist terrorists, either Daesh, ISIS or Hamas or Iran, all of the above, and that’s my condition.”

Trump’s upcoming peace plan slated for release in 2-4 months needs to deal with Netanyahu’s concerns if it is to win Israel’s backing.

Israel’s security demands would best be satisfied by part of the West Bank being reunified with Jordan to create a Jordanian enclave in the West Bank – with the remainder of the West Bank being annexed by Israel.

This solution would enable Israel to:

  • Control access and egress between the West Bank and Jordan.
  • Maintain security control for the entire area from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea.
  • Ensure the enclave be demilitarized and remain demilitarized.

The enclave’s residents would acquire Jordanian citizenship. Jordanian law would apply in the enclave – which could be divided into any number of electoral divisions whose residents would choose their representatives to sit in the Jordanian Parliament.

The PLO has already rejected Trump’s peace plan – sight unseen – opening the door for Jordan – at peace with Israel since signing their 1994 Peace Treaty – to fill the negotiating void necessary to create this Jordanian enclave.

Israel’s former Foreign Minister Moshe Arens presciently stated on 11 January1989:

“Jordan is a Palestinian state. And it is with Jordan that we must decide where the border will run…. Should the border follow the Jordan River, as it does today, or should it be west of the Jordan, as the Jordanians would like?”
I would suggest therefore that, when it comes to talking about territory there is only one negotiating party acceptable to the government of Israel. That party is the existing Palestinian state of Jordan.”

Creating a Jordanian enclave in the West Bank with Israel annexing the remainder could be – in Trump’s own words:

“the ultimate deal…as a deal maker, I’d like to do…the deal that can’t be made. And do it for humanity’s sake.”

Don’t underestimate Trump’s deal-making ability to end what he himself has called “the war that never ends”.  

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First published at Canada Free Press
(Author’s note: The cartoon – commissioned exclusively for this article – is by Yaakov Kirschen aka “Dry Bones”- one of Israel’s foremost political and social commentators – whose cartoons have graced the columns of Israeli and international media publications for decades. His cartoons can be viewed at Drybonesblog)
David Singer is an Australian Lawyer, a Foundation Member of the International Analyst Network and Convenor of Jordan is Palestine International.

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Jordan jumps on Trump bandwagon leaving PLO way behind.

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15 comments

  1. And what, pray is going to happen with Fatah, the PLO, the PA, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera?

    Are they all now going to terrorise Israel AND Jordan?

    Or just Israel seeing as how the Jordanians are “all Palestinian” brothers?

    What happens when Israel has to enter said “Little Jordan” to arrest a terrorist, restore order and security as it does now today under the remnants of Oslo?

    David, this is more hairbrained than Oslo ever was.

    This is a recipe for chaos, war and bloodshed.

    Just what Iran and Syria are hoping for, thankyou.

    If Jordan has any sense, it will say “Thankyou, but we have problems enough already.”

    If Israel has any sense, she will say “Last time we tried this we agreed to demilitarized autonomy for the “Palestinians” and got suicide bombings and lots of funerals instead.”

    TELL ME AGAIN, WHOSE INTERESTS WOULD THIS PROPOSED NIGHTMARE SERVE?

  2. I think in this instance John calls it right…….surely the Jordanian memory is not that short that it forgets Black September……..in 2018 the situation is far more complex for Jordan.

    The question John suggests is the right one and surely needs to be answered with great care…..Whose interests are bast served in this proposal?

    • So what plan do you think Trump will be proposing within the next four months?

      • Larry Langman

        My sense is that there will be no proposal yet because the “pieces” are not in place to formulate a proposal. I cannot readily see Jordan agreeing to buy into managing the West Bank……look at the effort they have gone to get rid of it.

        The re-location of the US Embassy to West Jerusalem was enough to give Trump “four more years”…..the removal of funding of UNRWA was also enough to give Trump “four more years”. Trump needs to do no more to hold the Jewish vote…….by letting Israel to get on with the business of Israel he will have done more that most could have reasonably hoped for in advancing the Israeli cause

        So if there is nothing in it for any of the players to undertake major change…..then major change will not happen.

        So again one needs to ask….What is the benefit for each party in creating a Jordanian Enclave over the West Bank?….effectively dissolving or should we say “neutering” the current Palestinian Administration.

        • Larry, with you on this.
          I can’t see Jordan being a player in this game either. They were happy having Judaea and Samaria taken off their hands before. Why on earth would they invite trouble again?

          • Jordan continued to have a legal and administrative presence in the West Bank after 1967 until 1988 – only surrendering to the PLO because of Arab pressure.

            You can read why Jordan pulled out:
            http://www.kinghussein.gov.jo/88_july31.html

            If Jordan does not come to the party now, then Trump will continue to withhold aid to the refugees in Jordan and will make it clear that Abdullah not ring Trump for help if unrest breaks out in Jordan. These are pretty powerful incentives to get Jordan to the negotiating table with Israel. Resisting Trump overtures is not advised. Just ask the PLO.

        • Trump has said he is going to release his plan in 2-4 months time.
          https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/26/world/middleeast/trump-israel-palestinians.html
          You can’t get out of answering my question as easily as you have.
          So – what do you think will be in Trump’s plan?

    • Larry, I’m glad to see someone as equally enthusiastic about John Bolton’s newly revamped and Trumped-up “One State, Two State, Three State, Four Solution” as I am.

  3. So, David – with great respect – will you ever respond to points made or questions asked?

  4. Whilst the terms enclave and confederation are not necessarily the same thing, they are not a million miles apart either. The reason I mention this is that Raphael Ahren of the Times of Israel reports that Jason Greenblatt recently told him that the US peace proposals will not call for any kind of confederation with Jordan.

    • There is a world of difference between a confederation and an enclave. The fact that Greenblatt has ruled out a confederation points to an enclave being a very distinct possibility.

      • Not if Israel and Jordan refuse to go along with it, David.

        And, David, speaking of “getting out of my question as easily as you have,” as you elude to above, may I remind you that you have not answered one single question yourself.

        So, why not answer two of the questions I first put to you on this post:

        1) “And, what, pray is going to happen with Fatah, the PLO, the PA, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera?”

        2) “Whose interests would this proposed nightmare serve?”

        • Quite correct John. There will be no Trump plan published unless Jordan agrees to negotiate with Israel. That is why I think it is taking so long to see the light of day.

          In answer to your questions:
          1. All the etceteras will still be around but they will be marginalised – since any Israel-Jordan agreement will only be concluded with the endorsement of the Arab League.

          2. Immaterial. Those whose interests are involved will have to deal with the plan when it is released – nightmare or otherwise. Trump is not to be trifled with. Ask Mexico, Canada, NATO and the PLO.

          • Come, come, David don’t be so disingenuous.

            If Fatah, the PLO, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood, Hezbollah, etcetera x 6 could so easily be “marginalised” they would have been long ago. Try telling the thousands of Israeli Jewish victims of these terrorist groups since Oslo such pap.

            The security of Israel is not “immaterial” and never shall be, and Israel will be there long after Mr Trump’s term(s) of office.

            Israel made many mistakes during the Oslo debacle but among lessons learned, she should now accept nothing on face value, and, unlike during the Oslo delusion, she must look for the unforeseen and examine any peace initiative for inherent flaws, obvious or otherwise.

            Israel is in this situation largely because she allowed herself to be hoodwinked both by her sworn mortal enemies and those in the White House who thought they knew best.

            This plan is no different however well intentioned it may be. NEVER AGAIN.

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